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Sep 24, Ronald Roseborough rated it liked it Shelves: non-fiction , real-life. Burrows has very impressive credentials having worked for the CIA as well as with the National Intelligence Counsel deciphering what will be the megatrends of the future. Burrows describes our future as a multipolar world.

A world which is influenced by many strong countries interacting together to ensure growth and prosperity. He believes this international prosperity would be our best bet for the increase of domestic jobs and the continued growth of our middle class. In a future that h Mr. In a future that has the potential to be very bleak or very bright, Mr. Burrows says it is time for the United States to realize that we cannot solve all of the world's problems by ourselves. We need to face the fact that we have to work with the rest of the world to solve it's problems.

Though still a leader, we are not the sole dominant power we once were. Technological advances have made the world a much smaller place. The actions of a nation or even a few individuals can change the world view more rapidly than previously imagined. The U. Book provided for review by Palgrave Mcmillan. Sep 04, Sean Sherman rated it liked it. It covers a number of projections about shifts in global power and technology in the next couple decades. It covers some of the basics that many people may have a clue about and also delves into situations and events around the world that may not be as well known.

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Technological advancement can be tricky to predict. There are things that we know I received an advanced copy through Goodreads FirstReads program. There are things that we know are coming, but have no idea how innovative people will use these new technologies. Added with the coming of a probable multi-polar world and the future can look intimidating. Burrows tries to keep his optimism even with some treacherous waters for the world ahead.

Overall it is a good book for those who want to learn more about some of the challenges we face. There are a number of fictional scenarios towards the end that give examples of possible futures. They were a little short and I wish they were a bit more developed, but they did illustrate some of the author's points. May 31, P. Carrillo rated it it was amazing.

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Burrows has written a brilliant book that speculates what the world may look like by It covers trends such as military conflicts, advances in technology, energy development and food and water scarcity. I was surprised that the issue of global mass migration to mostly northern nations due to famines, water shortages and escalating violence in the southern hemisphere was not directly addressed. The biggest omission was the growing dominance of the drug cartels in Central and South Amer Mr. The biggest omission was the growing dominance of the drug cartels in Central and South America, namely Mexico.

Mexico can be described as a failed state and as it is our closest neighbor and our biggest trading partner, it is our most critical and urgent foreign policy issue. Of course I realize that any discussion regarding immigration and the drug trade is politically dangerous, no matter how scientifically the subject is approached.

The Future, Declassified: Megatrends That Will Undo the World Unless We Take Action

I highly recommend this book for a comprehensive look at our world and the short term challenges we face. Burrows is to be congratulated on his unflinching narratives and his honest appraisal of where the United States stands in view of a rapidly changing world. May 22, Skeetor rated it liked it Shelves: goodreads-giveaways , futureworld. I received the book for free through Goodreads First Reads. However, just a warning for those looking for an easy read, most of the information is presented in a format closer to an intelligence briefing, than a narrative.

The author provides a lot of interesting technological breakthrough information, as well as insights for trends in societal behavior. You may not agree with his reasoning or his predictions, but this book is definitely thought provoking and I am glad I read it. I feel his goal of bringing attention to possible scenarios would have been better served by his own explanations of the possible scenarios, minus the shallow plots and characters.


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Sep 04, Matt Heavner rated it really liked it. This book did not live up to its promise but I can't put my finger on why. As a catalyst for provoking strategic thinking, this is a worthwhile read.


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I think it was a good read in conjunction with the more formal Global Futures report - probably no surprise that if you read this book you might be into the full report. Although there were footnotes in this book, many of the claims made by this book were too lightly supported of course, to make this more readable and less academic, that was This book did not live up to its promise but I can't put my finger on why.

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Although there were footnotes in this book, many of the claims made by this book were too lightly supported of course, to make this more readable and less academic, that was probably the editor's advice and the documentation is in the more formal report. The last four chapters were fictional "imaginings" that were a quicker read, somewhat captivating, somewhat formulaic, but also thought provoking. Overall, this book was thought provoking and a worthwhile read, so still gets the four stars.

Jan 09, Berlinsd rated it really liked it. I read this book because it was on a professional reading list. Burrows is a former intelligence analyst who worked on America's comprehensive strategic outlook report. This book is an adaptation of his government work without political oversight. He looks deep into trends that one day we will hear politicians say on headline news that they were surprised. Among these trends are the impact of technology on nation-states and movements, global warming whether man-made or cyclical impacts, the ri I read this book because it was on a professional reading list.

Among these trends are the impact of technology on nation-states and movements, global warming whether man-made or cyclical impacts, the rising global middle class, and the impacts of 3D printing and biotech. It is a good read if you are a deep thinker, long-term investor, or are thinking about what your kids and grandkids will face. It is a must-read strategists, sociologists, and those who work in international relations or national security.

Jun 19, Colleen rated it really liked it Shelves: first-reads , own , non-fiction. From the title and the cover, I was a little worried that this book would be a sensationalized, fear-tactic look at the future. It's actually a much more realistic look at some of the global challenges i. The first half of the book examines these in detail and the second half is a series of speculative short stories fiction. I think they're intended to be more illustrative than entertaining, so don't expect to be blown From the title and the cover, I was a little worried that this book would be a sensationalized, fear-tactic look at the future.

I think they're intended to be more illustrative than entertaining, so don't expect to be blown away by the narrative. That being said, they do add something to the book as a whole and it's not an approach I've seen done before. I'd recommend this book to anyone who finds themselves thinking about global issues and is interested in an insider's take. Disclaimer: I received a copy of this book for free through Goodreads First Reads. Sep 02, wade rated it really liked it.

A futurist's look at whats ahead for the future of the world. The author was the Director of a think tank with the goal of developing strategic foresight initiatives. The book is very thought provoking tackling the pros and cons of advanced technology, what to do about China, instability in third world nations and the breakdown of the nation state in many areas of the world. The downside for me is that about two thirds through the book the author begins to tell fictional stories about people li A futurist's look at whats ahead for the future of the world. The downside for me is that about two thirds through the book the author begins to tell fictional stories about people living in the future world he predicts.

My feeling was the book should be all fiction or all fact. Nov 28, Frank Kelly rated it liked it Shelves: afghanistan , , business-management , foreign-policy , intelligence , t-t Burrows is one of the smartest out there in terms of analysis of future trends and issues. No, there are no Earth-shattering revelations here. But he makes a solid presentation backed by good research and critical thinking of many of the key issues of the day: the rise of China, the impact of technology on our lives and how we rule ourselves, natural resource challenges and opportunities, etc.

Overall, a good resource to find other resources on what we know is coming our way in the next 25 to 50 Burrows is one of the smartest out there in terms of analysis of future trends and issues. Overall, a good resource to find other resources on what we know is coming our way in the next 25 to 50 years. May 13, Faith rated it it was ok Shelves: first-reads , non-fiction , I received this book for review as part of the Goodreads first-reads giveaway. China will leave behind the USA economically until Crisis of Eurozone and its disintegration are discussed in the report.

The role of the USA in many cases as a factor of peace and development is overestimated. Crisis of Eurozone with millions refugees is underestimated. Non-controllable Islamic migration into Europe was not predicted. Disintegration of 15 countries is pointed out as possible. As it is known, 29 American states want to leave the USA peacefully. Consequences of shale revolution were mistaken. New integration and disintegration processes are going. Divergence of forecasts and reality is inevitable. In some cases it is due to quick changes of the world and in others due to subjective point of view of the forecaster.

Global Trends Alternative Worlds.

Publication of the National Intelligence Council. December Burrows M. New York, Palgrave Macmillan, Hughes B. Exploring and Shaping International Futures. London, New York, Routledge, Makhova N. Forsait-issledovaniya: stranovaya spetsifika i obshchie zakonomernosti [Foresight: Country Specifies and General Patterns]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya, , no.

Tulupov D. Razvedka — navsegda! Evolyutsiya prognozirovaniya riskov v informatsionno-analiticheskoi praktike razvedsluzhb. Global Trends A Dialogue about the Future with Nongovernment Experts. Washington, NIC, Dudina G. The dynamics in East Asia are and will continue to be fraught, as China, the United States and its traditional allies, and various swing states struggle to adapt to ongoing shifts in economic and military power. Much will depend, he argues, on skillful diplomacy on all sides. He focuses on biotech, IT, nanotech, 3-D printing, artificial intelligence, and robotics, arguing that together they could contribute to substantial reductions in disease and hunger while empowering individuals and improving quality of life.

Yet he points to potentially enormous downsides. His description of the dangers that could be posed by synthetic biology — combining DNA manipulation, IT, and bioprinting — at the disposal of unscrupulous states or individuals is harrowing. Whither America? Burrows contends that it will likely remain the single most powerful nation, even as its overall economic and military power, and that of its traditional allies, decline relatively.


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  • If anything, Burrows underestimates the extent to which the challenges America faces are exacerbated by vulnerabilities that are largely self-created. By , the Congressional Budget Office estimates, federal spending on entitlements and interest on the debt will consume all federal revenue — every dollar the United States spends on defense or anything else will be borrowed — and the debt will far exceed U.

    Recent attempts to deal with the fiscal problem have resulted in fiasco, with cuts to discretionary spending, especially defense, and most spending for entitlements untouched. At the same time, America is allocating its defense spending less strategically; by one estimate, nearly half of the U. For the United States to compete and lead effectively abroad, it must confront its self-inflicted weaknesses.

    That means addressing its debt and deficits by reforming entitlements, prioritizing defense spending on technological superiority, and addressing areas, such as education and infrastructure, that were once comparative advantages but now loom as relative vulnerabilities. It also means exploiting strengths, including its boom in oil and gas production thanks to the development and deployment of horizontal drilling and fracking, and its continuing ability to attract skilled and creative individuals from around the world. Amid all the potentially negative long-term trends it will face, the United States still retains the greatest freedom of any major power to determine its own future, mostly because many of its problems are within its ability to address.

    America must shore up the domestic sources of its strength and, at the same time, exercise active, credible, sustained leadership abroad. In the next few years, both parties will seek to find their footing on foreign policy. Contemplating how to meet those twin challenges simultaneously would be a good place to start.

    Lettow was the senior director for strategic planning on the National Security Council staff from to , and is the author of Ronald Reagan and His Quest to Abolish Nuclear Weapons. In This Issue Articles. By Christian Schneider. Since his landmark By Reihan Salam. By Amity Shlaes. The quote comes from The Roosevelts, the new Ken By David French. By Douglas Murray.

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